[{"_1":2,"_68":-5,"_69":-5},"loaderData",{"_3":4,"_38":39,"_66":-5,"_67":-5},"root",{"_5":-5,"_6":-5,"_7":8,"_22":23,"_24":25,"_26":27,"_30":31,"_36":37},"user","shoppingCartId","shoppingCart",{"_9":10,"_11":12,"_13":14,"_15":16,"_17":18,"_19":20,"_21":14},"id","no-cart","count",0,"free",true,"updatedAt","","paymentGateway","STRIPE","cartItems",[],"loading","locale","en","readerTheme","light","constants",{"_28":29},"paypalClientId","AX53Cwz8jR6rVVzzZiZNWWXl0dGagi-GZrjG-S3Ua14E5nrKMn7DxDQ730O4R8LusLPp49ALn6aRVaEy","publishers",{"_32":33,"_34":35},"companies",[],"universities",[],"needsLocaleCookieSync",false,"routes/_store+/_readers+/email_author.$slug/route",{"_40":41,"_65":-5},"book",{"_9":42,"_43":44,"_45":46,"_47":48,"_49":50,"_51":52},"Z2lkOi8vbGVhbnB1Yi9TdG9yZTo6Qm9va1Byb2R1Y3QvNzY4NzQ","title","Prediction Market Trading: Quantitative Strategies & AI-Powered Bot for Polymarket","state","published","contactAuthorMethod","email","aboutText","

Most people lose money on prediction markets.

Not because the markets are efficient — they aren't.

But because they don't know where the edge is.

This book shows you exactly where it is.

---

Built from a real project — not theory.

I spent weeks researching academic papers, studying

Polymarket's API, and building a working Python bot

that detects mispriced markets automatically.

Everything I learned is in this book.

---

What you'll get:

✅ 6 battle-tested strategies with academic backing

(longshot bias, bond value, spread capture, AI analysis + more)

✅ The correct Kelly Criterion formula for prediction markets

(99% of guides get this wrong — we show you the fix)

✅ Complete Python code — copy, run, profit

✅ How to use free AI models (Llama, Gemini) as a

superforecaster to find mispriced markets

✅ Real risk management: position sizing, drawdown

rules, when NOT to trade

✅ Full Polymarket API integration — no paid data needed

---

Who this is for:

→ Developers who want to build algo trading systems

→ Traders curious about prediction markets

→ Anyone who wants a data-driven edge over emotional bettors

","authors",[53],{"_9":54,"_55":56,"_5":57},"Z2lkOi8vbGVhbnB1Yi9TdG9yZTo6UHJvZHVjdEF1dGhvci84MjI3Ng","name","Lucas Aguirre",{"_58":59},"avatar",{"_60":61,"_62":63,"_64":14},"url","https://d39qdlcrvnra4b.cloudfront.net/avatars/3697900/medium/avatar.jpg?1773940311","styleName","medium","exists","currentUser","routes/_store+/_layout","routes/_store+/_readers+/_layout","actionData","errors"]

Email the Author