[{"_1":2,"_3":-5,"_4":-5},"loaderData",{"_5":6,"_7":8},"actionData","errors","root",{"_29":-5,"_44":-5,"_45":46,"_47":48,"_49":50,"_51":52,"_53":54,"_55":56,"_57":58,"_59":60,"_61":62,"_63":64},"routes/_store+/_readers+/email_author.$slug/route",{"_9":10,"_11":-5},"book",{"_12":13,"_14":15,"_16":17,"_18":19,"_20":21,"_22":23},"currentUser","id","Z2lkOi8vbGVhbnB1Yi9TdG9yZTo6Qm9va1Byb2R1Y3QvNjUyMzQ","title","The Flow Forecasting Pocket Guide","state","unpublished","contactAuthorMethod","email","aboutText","

Forecasting isn’t about getting the date right—it’s about seeing the risk early enough to do something about it.

The Flow Forecasting Pocket Guide offers a no-nonsense, practical introduction to probabilistic forecasting for anyone who needs to deliver work predictably. Whether you're an Agile practitioner, team lead, or executive tired of missed dates and fuzzy estimates, this guide cuts through the noise and gives you the tools to understand and act on delivery risk.

Authors Daniel Vacanti and Colleen Johnson walk you through the limitations of averages and deterministic planning, and instead offer a clear, step-by-step approach to applying Monte Carlo Simulation using your actual throughput data. With plain language, relatable examples, and a focus on actionable insights over academic theory, this book equips you to confidently answer the most important delivery questions—“When will it be done?” and “Will we make the date?”

You don’t need perfect data. You don’t need fancy tooling. You just need this book, your team’s past performance, and a willingness to let go of the illusion of certainty.

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Kick off your book project, get started with GhostAI, get better at marketing, or spend the day doing all three! Free live workshops on Zoom. Saturday, June 27, 2026.

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